College Football Playoff Forecast

Posted: September 24, 2014 in General, NCAAF
Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

By Jesse Granger

Another week in college football, and another top-four team went down. Early in the year, without much evidence to go off of, things are fluid and a big win can cause a team to soar up the rankings.

College Football Playoff Teams

1. Oregon Ducks (4-0) AP #2, Coaches #4Oregon

Oregon remains at the top, despite having its poorest showing of the season. The Ducks struggled in Pullman, Washington, and escaped Martin Stadium with a 38-31 win. Marcus Mariota was spectacularly efficient, completing more touchdown passes than incompletes. He finished 21-of-25 for 329 yards and five touchdowns, but was sacked a season-high seven times.

The offensive line was bad throughout, allowing all those sacks and limiting Royce Freeman to a pedestrian 3.8 yards per carry. That is a troubling sign considering Washington State is not a great defense. This performance would have dropped the Ducks out of No. 1 if any of the other top-four teams did anything of note.
2. Texas A&M Aggies (4-0) AP #6, Coaches #7

TX_A&MThe Aggies beat up on a winless SMU team that has lost its three games by a combined score of 146-12. Not much of a statement, but the Aggies high-flying offense has proven to be consistent. They currently rank second in the nation in scoring at 55.3 points per game, and fourth in passing at 405 yards per game. Maybe more impressive, is the play of the defense. They currently rank eighth in points allowed at 11.8 per game, and have allowed only one touchdown since week one at South Carolina.

Now Texas A&M’s schedule gets real tough, real quick. The Aggies will host Arkansas (3-1) before taking on three straight ranked opponents.
3. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-0) AP #14, Coaches #16MississippiState

There are three things that are certain in life – Taxes, Death, and losing to LSU in Death Valley at night.

Mississippi State defied one of those on Saturday, going in and beating the Tigers 34-29. It was the statement win of the season, for any team in college football. It was Mississippi State’s first win in Baton Rouge since 1991, and it was in front of 102,321 Tiger’s faithful.

The polls jumped them from unranked to the top 16, but that isn’t high enough. An undefeated team with the most impressive win of the year deserves to be in the top four no matter what logo is on the side of the helmet. The Bulldogs’ front-seven is nasty, and quarterback Dak Prescott has vaulted himself into the Heisman race with is 268 yards and two touchdowns through the air and 105 yards and a score on the ground against LSU.

 

4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-0) AP #9, Coaches #9

notre_dameNot much to say about the Irish. They had the week off, and therefore didn’t move up or down.

This week they take a trip to the Carrier Dome to play Syracuse (2-1), which is one of the softest games on their remaining schedule.
Just Missed The Cut

Baylor Bears (3-0) AP #7, Coaches #6

The Bears’ vaunted offense continues with machine-like precision. They once again lead the nation in scoring, with 59.3 points per game, and are 3rd in passing despite Bryce Petty missing time. The defense has looked great, but anyone’s defense would look great against SMU, Northwestern State and Buffalo. Baylor remains on the outside, for now.
Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) AP #4, Coaches #3

The Sooners escaped Morgantown, West Virginia with a hard-fought 45-33 win over the Mountaineers. The defense did not look good, allowing 513 yards, but the offense came though. Freshman running back Samaje Perine had a career day, carrying the ball 34 times for 242 yard and four touchdowns. Maybe most importantly, Oklahoma showed it can win when Trevor Knight is off.

South Carolina Gamecocks (3-1) AP #13, Coaches #15

South Carolina didn’t look great against Vanderbilt. The game came down to the wire, when the Gamecocks should have walked right through the Commodores. But every week South Carolina’s early-season wins just keep looking better and better.

 

Dropped Out

LSU Tigers – Lost to Mississippi State 34-29

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