Posts Tagged ‘ATS’

So much for the old theory of going against NBA teams that play in Salt Lake City, Utah, with the conception they can’t handle the altitude. This used to be a major basketball betting system, going against teams that play the second of back-to-back nights in Salt Lake, or Denver.

And while those numbers are forthcoming, I wanted to take a look at how teams fared when they ended a road trip of three games or more in Salt Lake City, which eight squads have done.

Boston, New York, Chicago, Cleveland, Washington, Sacramento, Houston and Memphis have all had elongated road trips finish up against the Jazz at EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake. And five of those teams ended their road trips by playing their road game in Utah, on the second of back-to-back nights.

Let’s start there, since the Philadelphia 76ers are doing just that tonight.

Boston, New York, Chicago, Houston and Memphis have all done it, with the Rockets being the only team to lose both straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS).

The other four all won both on the hardwood and against the spread.

The other three teams that ended their road trips in Salt Lake City, but did not play the final game on the second of back-to-back nights, were Cleveland, Washington and Sacramento.

The overall tally for those teams concluding their junkets with the Jazz at EnergySolutions is 4-4 SU and 6-2 ATS.

Again those playing that final game on the second of back-to-back nights is 4-1 SU and ATS.

Tonight the Sixers are catching +7-1/2 points from Utah, after winning last night in Sacramento, 117-103.

Philadelphia is in on ATS win streaks of 4-1 versus the Western Conference, 4-0 after an ATS cover and 6-1 overall. Conversely, the Sixers are mired in ATS slides of 8-20 when playing with no rest and 1-6 against the Northwest division.

The Jazz, meanwhile, are in on ATS win streaks of 5-0 after a straight-up loss, 5-1 against losing teams and 4-1 overall.

In this series, the home team has covered six straight, while the Jazz are on a 16-7 ATS roll – including 4-0 in Utah.

With the Jazz looking to stay alive in the Western Conference race, and the Sixers in after an offensively explosive game last night in Sactown, I’ll lay the points as your free winner. Take the Utah Jazz tonight in the NBA!!!

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Speaking of football, in London, this weekend it’ll be the kind we’re used to in America, not the brand the Brits are familiar with.

The St. Louis Rams (3-4) “host” Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (4-3) Sunday at Wembley Stadium in the annual NFL International Series in London.

The Patriots are 7-point favorites over the Rams, while the total is sitting at 47.

First-year coach – but certainly no newbie to the game – Jeff Fisher has seemingly turned this team around, and it’s evident on the defensive side of the ball. St. Louis has the 10th-ranked defense in the league overall, after being 22nd last year.

Prior to last week’s 30-20 loss to the Green Bay Packers, the Rams had stifled their foes to a mere 14.7 points per game at home in the Edward Jones Dome, with impressive victories over the Redskins, Seahawks and Cardinals.

Of course, there might be a question mark against more-formidable opponents after seeing what the Packers did; this week may tell more against the Patriots and their No. 1 ranked overall offense.

The young Rams figure to have their hands full, as is this their first trip across the pond; the Patriots have been here before, beating Tampa Bay at Wembley in 2009. And let’s be real, though the official boxscore will list St. Louis as the home team, the Patriots are by far the more popular team in Europe.

No doubt in my mind the Patriots will get a majority of the support.

That’s not to say I’m ready to lay the chalk with New England, especially after seeing last Sunday’s second-half collapse and overall scare, relinquishing a 10-point fourth-quarter lead to the New York Jets in a three-point, overtime win. And that was one week after blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead in a loss to Seattle.

I will be intrigued to see how well these two teams defend one another, since Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels¬†held the same position with the Rams last season. Theory being, the Rams might be able to predict some of his tendencies, albeit with guys like Brady, Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski. And, the Patriots could benefit by McDaniels’ info about the tendencies of the Rams’ offensive personnel.

The ‘under’ is on a 4-1 run in this ‘London game,’ and the Rams were on a four-game ‘under’ streak til last week, when they went over 45 with the Packers, totaling 50 points. They have to know their best chance in this game is to slow the Patriots down, eat up clock by controlling the tempo with a strong rushing game, protecting the football and keeping Brady off the field. I can buy into that philosophy and still see the Patriots win this game.

Again, I don’t want to lay the points, since I could see New England up by 10 late in this one, and the Rams scoring a backdoor touchdown. The Patriots might just put it on Fisher’s boys, like they did the Buccaneers in 2009, in a¬†35-7 rout.

For my official free play on this game, head over to Chris Jordan Sports where I have a 4* play (based on a scale of 1* to 5*) ready right now.

PREVIOUS NFL GAMES OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES

Oct. 2 2005¬†Cardinals (-3, 44) 31‚Äď14 over 49ers, at Mexico City

Oct. 28 2007 Giants 13-10 over Dolphins (+10, 47.5), at London

Oct. 26 2008 Saints (+3, 45.5) 37-32 over Chargers, at London

Oct. 25 2009 Patriots (-15.5, 44.5) 35-7 over Buccaneers, at London

Oct. 31 2010 49ers (-2, 41) 24-16 over Broncos, at London

Oct. 23 2011 Bears (-1.5, 44) 24-18 over Buccaneers, at London

If you would like a free pick emailed from one of the handicappers in my stable, enter your information below my Customer Service team will take care of the rest!!!

Breaking down the best-of-seven National League Championship Series between St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants:

Schedule: (All times PDT)

Game 1, Sunday, at San Francisco (5:15 p.m.)

Game 2, Monday, at San Francisco (5:07 p.m.)

Game 3, Wednesday, at St. Louis (1:07 p.m.)

Game 4, Thursday, at St. Louis (5:07 p.m.)

x-Game 5, Friday, at St. Louis (5:07 p.m.)

x-Game 6, Sunday, at San Francisco (1:45 p.m.)

x-Game 7, Monday, at San Francisco (5:07 p.m.)

x-if necessary.

Projected Lineups (regular season statistics):

St. Louis Cardinals

CF Jon Jay (.305, 4 HRs, 40 RBIs, 18 SBs, .373 OBP)

RF Carlos Beltran (.269, 32, 97)

LF Matt Holliday (.295, 27, 102)

1B Allen Craig (.307, 22, 92)

C Yadier Molina (.315, 22, 76)

3B David Freese (.293, 20, 79)

2B Daniel Descalso (.227, 4, 26)

SS Pete Kozma (.333, 2, 14).

San Francisco Giants:

CF Angel Pagan (.288, 8, 56, 29 SBs, 15 3Bs)

2B Marco Scutaro (.306, 7, 74 for Giants and Rockies)

3B Pablo Sandoval (.283, 12, 63)

C Buster Posey (.336, 24, 103, 39 2Bs)

RF Hunter Pence (.253, 24, 104 for Giants and Phillies)

1B Brandon Belt (.275, 7, 56)

LF Gregor Blanco (.244, 5, 34, 26 SBs) or Xavier Nady (.184, 4, 13 for Giants and Nationals)

SS Brandon Crawford (.248, 4, 45).

Starting Pitchers (in projected rotation order):

St. Louis Cardinals:

RHP Lance Lynn (18-7, 3.78 ERA)

RHP Chris Carpenter (0-2, 3.71 in 3 starts after shoulder surgery)

RHP Kyle Lohse (16-3, 2.86)

RHP Adam Wainwright (14-13, 3.94).

San Francisco Giants:

LHP Madison Bumgarner (16-11, 3.37, 191 Ks)

RHP Ryan Vogelsong (14-9, 3.37 in 31 starts)

RHP Matt Cain (16-5, 2.79, 193 Ks, 219 1-3 IP, first perfect game in franchise history June 13 vs. Astros)

RHP Tim Lincecum (10-15, 5.18, 186 IP, 190 Ks, matched career high with 17 wild pitches) or LHP Barry Zito (15-8, 4.15, 184 1-3 IP; won final 5 starts and 7 straight decisions).

Season Nuggets:

This is a showdown between the past two World Series champions, for the right to play for this year’s title

The season series was deadlocked at 3 wins apiece

The Under has cashed in 6 of the last 8 meetings in San Francisco

The road team has covered five of the last eight meetings, dating back to 2011

St. Louis Nuggets:

The Cardinals rallied for four runs in the ninth inning to beat Washington 9-7 in the deciding Game 5 of the NLDS.

Carlos Beltran had three hits and was on base five times in the crucial win for the Cardinals.

The defending World Series champs won two games less than they did last season.

The Redbirds still won 12 of their final 16 games, then beat Atlanta in the first-ever one-game wild card contest.

St. Louis is in the NLCS for the seventh time since the start of the 2000 season

Ace hurler Chris Carpenter is 10-2 lifetime in the postseason and has won five straight decisions.

NL MVP candidate Yadier Molina had a career season anf finished fourth in the league in hitting

The Cardinals have become road warriors of late, having won seven of their last nine with a suitcase in hand.

San Francisco Nuggets:

The NL West champs overcame a 2-0 deficit by winning the final three games of the NLDS on the road to rally past Cincinnati.

Amazingly, Cincinnati outscored the Giants 22-18 in the series, outhit them .261-.194 and recorded a 3.13 ERA, compared to Frisco’s 4.11.

San Francisco is the first team since the 1987 Cardinals to make playoffs with fewest home runs in the majors, with just 103.

Game 1 starter Madison Bumgarner gave up seven runs over 13-1/3 innings in his two matchups with the defending World Series champs this past regular season.

The Giants hit just 31 homers during the regular season at AT&T Park

Two-time Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum looked good as a reliever in the NLDS, allowing one run, three hits and no walks in 6-1/3 innings, and getting the win in Game 4.

Lincecum might move back into the rotation for this series, as Barry Zito lasted just 2-2/3 innings in his one start.

National League MVP candidate Buster Posey, hit only .211 in the NLDS, but was the leading hitter on the senior circuit at .336 with 24 home runs and 103 RBI during the regular season.

The Giants are on an 8-3 run in the playoffs.

Yes, we’d all have a Merry Christmas.

So imagine what it would be like if we¬†did have odds on the Division I College Wrestling Finals, to generate more popularity toward the sport, to generate revenue and income for sports books and to create exhilaration for sports bettors. I mean, if the Kentucky Derby is “the most exciting two minutes in sports,” these college championship matches could very well be “the most exciting 9 seconds-to-seven minutes in sports.”

So let’s play dress-up before Saturday night’s championship matches, which will be televised on ESPN at 4:30 p.m. pacific. Let’s pretend there is betting on the sport; these would be my betting previews/projected odds/picks for the 2012 Finals.

Tweet to @CJSports2

Enjoy:

125-pound championship 1 Matt McDonough (Iowa) vs. 10 Nico Megaludis (Penn State)

McDonough is in his third straight national final, and is looking to win for a second time. He last year he was on the losing end of one of the biggest stories in sports for 2011, as Anthony Robles stole the hearts of America when he entered the arena on one leg and his crutches. Now Robles is in the broadcast booth, and McDonough is back in the finals. He faces 10th-seeded¬†Megaludis, a freshman who wrestles with tenacity that can’t be taught. This kid has been stellar all week turning around a rather mediocre season regular season. Megaludis¬†ignited Penn State’s run this week, with upset triumphs in both the quarters and semis. An oddsmaker¬†wouldn’t know any better, and would likely make McDonough a -200 favorite, but Megaludis has the potential to be the first national champion of the night.

MY PICK – I am a lover of the underdog, and as impressive as McDonough’s approach has been throughout this event, as a gamblin’ man, I’d take a shot with this underdog for a major upset to kick off this event.

133-pound championship 1 Jordan Oliver (Oklahoma State) vs. 2 Logan Stieber (Ohio State)

In what could very well be ‘thee’ match of the evening, Oliver is going after his second straight title, looking to duplicate the same feat UFC welterweight contender Johny¬†Hendricks did at the 165-pound class for Oklahoma State six years ago. Oliver has been impressive all week, reecording¬†three first-round pins in his first three matches. He’ll meet¬†No. 2 seed Logan Stieber, another freshman phenom that has made headlines all week. Though Oliver has already beaten Stieber¬†once this year, roughly one month ago, and you’d think he has the psychological edge, Stieber¬†has made it too far to collapse at this point. Oddsmakers¬†would likely make Oliver a -160 favorite, but Stieber isn’t going to be taken down that easily.

MY PICK – In what I think will be one of the three best matches of the night, I have to side with Oliver in this one, thinking he will be able hold off Stieber in a close match that goes right to the end.

141-pound championship 1 Kellen Russell (Michigan) vs. 3 Montell Marion (Iowa)

A couple of familiar names meet in this national championship, with Russell looking to defend his title. It won’t be easy against a three-time, final-four qualifier in Marion. While it’s true Russell has beaten Marion¬†three times¬†during their collegiate careers, including a battle in last year’s tournament, the revenge-factor kicks in with this one. You really never know what to expect from Marion, and when he’ll come alive. He’s a thoroughbred that loves to close down the backstretch, saving everything for the 3rd round. The odds-on favorite, no doubt, is Russell – probably a -125 favorite – as he’s looking to bring back to back championships back to Ann Arbor, but if he doesn’t score a lot of points, or take care of Marion early, look for an eventful two minutes in the third period.

MY PICK – Marion scares me, I’m not going to lie; this kid takes so long to get going, yet his methodical approach gets him through every time. My money would be on the underdog here, hoping he comes alive in the 3rd peroid, in true Montell fashion.

149-pound championship 1 Frank Molinaro (Penn State) vs. 7 Dylan Ness (Minnesota)

Kudos to Ness for getting this far, he’s been impressive over his first four wins, specifically his quarterfinal-upset of Oklahoma State’s Jamal Parks, seeded second in this weight class, and expected to challenge Molinaro¬†for the title. Ness had other plans and took a 3-2 decision to get into the semis, where he took care of Pittsburgh’s Tyler Nauman. But now that he’s gotten three-quarters of the way up this steep hill, this is where he hits rough terrain. Penn State’s Molinaro¬†improves every time he competes in this event, progressing from 9th place as a freshman, 7th place as a sophomore and 2nd place last year. This year he’s in the final match and is undefeated. And if you haven’t watched him yet, he’s a beast. Ness has already lost three times to Molinaro¬†this season alone, oddsmakers¬†would make Molinaro a -400 favorite in this one.

MY PICK – Steep price to pay, but all Molinaro here. This guy has worked way too hard to not pull this one off, and he should be able to get Ness, possibly even by pin.

157-pound championship 1 Kyle Dake (Cornell) vs. 2 Derek St. John (Iowa)

Call me naive, but Dake¬†should be considered a leading candidate for Most Outstanding Wrestler. The 5-foot-9 junior from Cornell – yes, he has another year left for the Big Red – is another undefeated top seed who has run roughshod through the competition with ease. Three pins and a 4-0 decision in the semis. Now he’s on the verge of winning three straight D-I titles in three different weight classes, and he’s the odds-on favorite after winning the 141-pound division as a freshman, the 149-pound division as a sophomore and now has his sights set on the 157-pound division. Only one person stands in his way, and that is Iowa’s St. John, who has muddled his way to the finals after majoring his first opponent, 9-1. From there it was an 8-4 decision, a 3-1 overtime win and a 5-1 decision in the semis over third-seeded Jason Welch. All that being said, this may be a clash of the top two seeds, but Dake¬†is in a class of his own, and oddsmakers would easily make him a -190 favorite.

MY PICK – Another great match that could be one of the top three of the night, but I have to side with Dake. This kid is a beast, and just wears you down on the mat. Dake will win here.

165-pound championship 1 David Taylor (Penn State) vs. 11 Brandon Hatchett (Lehigh)

Talk about an uphill battle, Hatchett¬†is going to have to dig down deep into his basketball-counterparts’ underdog prowess to pull this one out. Just because Lehigh upended Duke on the basketball court last night, doesn’t mean it’s possible when you’re taking on a kid like Taylor, who is out to avenge last year’s loss to Arizona State’s Bubba Jenkins. Though Hatchett¬†has been one of the surprises of the tournament, and is the biggest seed to make it to the finals, it doesn’t mean he’s going to be able to finish this fairy tale. I’ve spoken highly about several wrestlers, but arguably the most impressive wrestler of the tournament so far has been Penn State’s Taylor, who has been on the mat a total of 8 minutes and 46 seconds to defeat his four opponents – all by pins. I’m not going to say it’s impossible for Hatchett¬†– after all, he’s outscored his four foes by a cumulative final of 26-9, including a 7-3 decision over Iowa State’s Andrew Sorenson, the No. 3 seed – but Taylor has been labeled as a “future Olympic champion.” Oddsmakers would easily have Taylor installed as a -350 favorite.

MY PICK – Another big price to pay with another Penn State wrestler, but Taylor is not going to get stuck for a second year in a row, like Jenkins did to him last year. Hats off to Hatchett, but the Cinderella run ends here.

174-pound championship 1 Edward Ruth (Penn State) vs. 3 Nick Amuchasteg (Stanford)

A battle of unbeatens¬†in this one, in what should be a scrap to the very end. Many people tune in from the start and start to veer by the time the 165s roll around. True wrestling fans know these later weight classes can be brawls, and this is a match you should be glued to. Top-seeded Ruth was dominant through his matches to get here, scoring first-round pins in his first two matches, then an 11-4 decision in the quarters and a 17-1 tech-fall victory over Minnesota’s Logan Storley. Talk about dominating, the Golden Gophers were ranked No. 1 as a team for some time, and are No. 2 in the team standings, but Ruth blew through Storley¬†very easily. As for Amuchastegui, he’s here after an emotional 3-2 overtime win versus highly touted Chris Perry, from Oklahoma State. And make note, Amuchastegui¬†fell one win short last year, but did defeat Ruth on his way through the bracket. So even though the Nittany¬†Lion is the top seed, Amuchastegui¬†will consider anything less than a championship a failure to the season. Ruth, on the other hand, is not only looking for Gold, but revenge as well. Oddsmakers would make Ruth a slim 115 favorite here.

MY PICK – This is going to be a war, and a match I cannot wait to see. This is going to be such a good match, if there was one I wouldn’t wager on, it’d be this one. But I have to make a choice for my readers, so I’m laying the price with the revenge factor and would take Ruth.

184-pound championship 4 Steve Bosak (Cornell) vs. 6 Quentin Wright (Penn State)

It took seven matches, but here in the eighth of the championship round, we have a pair of wrestlers who aren’t seeded in the top three, as both made their way through tough competition. That alone should make this a great match, as it’s the only final that won’t involve a first-¬†or second-seed. That beind¬†said, we do have a defending champion taking the mat, as Wright is a returning titlist¬†from 2011. And make note, he actually had a better regular season this year than he did last year, when he was seeded 9th in his bracket. Though he’s the sixth-seed, and Bosak¬†if the fourth seed, I have to believe Wright might be a slight favorite here. After all, as the 9-seed last year he made his way through the bracket and won it all. This year he’s seeded sixth and he’s right back in it. Bosak¬†finished fourth last season, so maybe that played in consideration with his seeding, after how he finished his campaign this year. He has won one more match than he did last year, and I’m sure he’s wanting to represent Big Red, but Wright is going to be not only wrestling for a title, but to put the exclamation point on a team title for Penn State. Also, Wright defeated Bosak¬†handidly¬†earlier this season. Revenge factor? Eh… I think the oddsmakers make Wright a -115 choice.

MY PICK – Couple of wrestlers looking to make a name for themselves, and I have to go with the lower-seed. Whenever you have – in any sport – a lower seed listed as the favorite, the oddsmakers are clearly telling you who is going to win. Wright gets the win here.

197-pound championship 1 Cam Simaz (Cornell) vs. 2 Christopher Honeycutt (Edinboro)

Our final battle that pits the top two seeds, and only one that does not involve a Big 10 wrestler. Leading the charge is Cornell’s Cam Simaz, who has finally gotten over the hump after finishing third the last two years in the collegiate championships. Simaz¬†is 30-1 coming into the final, and is a four-time all-American out of Michigan. Honeycutt, from Edinboro, a four-year university located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, is 40-1 and avenged his only loss of the season by knocking off Pittsburgh’s Matthew Wilps, 6-3 in overtime, in the semis. After spending his entire career at 184 pounds, the redshirt¬†senior would love nothing more than to culminate a rather fulfilling career with a championship at 197. As even as this match could be, we might be looking at a match where the oddsmakers¬†would have their only pick’em bout, at -110 apiece.

MY PICK – You know what, I’m taking the lower seed in this one, just because he’s going to want to put his school on the map in this event. Look for Honeycutt to pull this one out for Edinboro pride.

Heavyweight championship 4 Zachery Rey (Lehigh) vs. 2 Tony Nelson (Minnesota)

In the final match, the heavyweight bout, Rey comes in as the No. 4 seed, though he is the defending champion and looked every bit like one in the semifinals, defeating top-seeded Ryan Flores, from American U., in the semis. Rey, another Lehigh-product looking to feed off some momentum from the basketball team that knocked off March-behemoth Duke last night, won close matches all the way to the semis, before dispatching of Flores, 6-2. He takes on the No. 2 seed from Minnesota, who has shown progress from a year ago, when he finished seventh. On the flipside of what Rey did in his first four matches, Nelson made quick work of his first three opponents, and then eked out a 4-3 decision over Oregon State’s Clayton Jack, the No. 3 seed. Nelson was an all-American as a sophomore in 2011, but again, Rey is the defending champ and has found a knack for winning the tough ones. The oddsmakers would lean toward Rey here, making him a -115 favorite.

MY PICK – Finally in this last match, I’m taking the favorite, which is the lower seed. I think Rey will defend his championship successfully, adding a little highlight reel for his Lehigh counterparts on the hardwood, giving them some momentum for their game tomorrow against Xavier.

Again, all information pertaining to odds/sports betting is for entertainment purposes only.

Let’s start with the obvious: Lehigh, Ohio and Norfolk State.

Get this, pending the prices you might have gotten at different sports books a $100 moneyline parlay on those three underdogs would have returned about $80,000. Not bad for a day at the sports book, right? Well, until I hear different from the Gaming Commission, I’m pretty sure no one was bold enough to make that kind of investment.

We can be sure there are some busted brackets out there. I’ve heard so many analysts and read so many blogs that had all three big-name victims – Duke, Missouri and Michigan – in the Final Four or National Championship. I did have Ohio beating Michigan on my bracket, but didn’t have Lehigh and Norfolk State, though I thought Lehigh could cover that number.

According to a ‘tweet’ by Covers.com Sports, one bettor¬†cashed in on Norfolk State at 45-to-1 odds. A $120 investment resulted in a $5,520 payout – a profit of $5,400. The site reported the LVH¬†SuperBook had the Spartan at +4000 to win outright. Second-seeded

Missouri was a 21-point favorite, and many had the Tigers going to the Final Four. Norfolk State brought an end to that with its 86-84 win. The total was anywhere from 144 to 145, and easily went over.

Overall, by my count and grading of the first-round games – including the First Four, and not including the Louisville-Davidson game (which I’ll touch on in a minute – the underdogs are now 18-15-2, with 14 of the 18 underdogs winning outright. I’m not sure what the TV analysts were talking about after Thursday, saying there weren’t a lot of upsets, but perhaps they need to check the point spreads and ignore the seedings. Though the favorites went 7-6-2 on Thursday, four of those six pups won outright. With the Louisville win over

Davidson, the line was 7.5, and moved to 7 early in the day. It closed at 5 or 5.5, and the Cardinals won by seven. The only winners on that game might have been any sharps who middled the game.

Looking at today’s lines, the tightest spread is with Vanderbilt-Wisconsin, which is a pick at most places, though you could possibly find either team laying a point somewhere along the way. The biggest number is on Kentucky, which is laying 10.5 points to sharp-shooting Iowa State.

Not all of Sunday’s lines were available at post time, due to Friday’s late games, but the ones that were out saw the slimmest number on Florida State, which was laying 2 to Cincinnati. The biggest was with Florida spotting Norfolk State two touchdowns (-14).

I’ll update this blog as the other lines come out.

 

 

HOW’D THOSE COACHES DO – Thursday I broke down some value coaches to look at, based on their records in the opening round, let’s check and see how the did.

WINNERS: Kansas State’s outspoken skipper, Frank Martin, is still perfect, now 4-0 both SU and ATS in his four tournament appearances

Matt Painter’s Purdue knocked off St. Mary’s, and now has a 6-1 ATS record.

North Carolina’s Roy Williams is a perfect 14-0 SU and 8-5-1 ATS.

Gonzaga’s Mark Few improved to 10-3 SU in the first round.

LOSERS: Michigan coach John Beilein, who led the Wolverines to a share of the Big10 regular season championship, blew his perfect 5-0 SU and ATS when the Wolverines lost to Ohio.

Cal’s Mike Montgomery was 8-1 SU heading into the event, but saw his Golden Bears, a Sweet 16 choice of mine, get blasted by South Florida.

I warned you to be careful about betting on Duke’s Coach K, who is now 13-2 SU and 7-8 ATS in the first round.

Kansas’ Bill Self is 11-2 SU but a mediocre 7-5 ATS in the round of 64

Michigan State’s Tom Izzo is 10-4 SU and 8-6 ATS and

West Virginia’s Bobby Huggins was a bust as a suggested moneyline play, and is now 9-4 SU in the first round of the event with teams he’s taken.

FADE WINNERS AND LOSERS:¬†I told you some of the coaches you may want to think about going against in the first round, based on their ATS trends were Connecticut’s Jim Calhoun, Kentucky’s John Calipari and North Carolina State’s Mark Gottfried.

Calhoun was 10-1 SU in this round, and 3-8 at the window, and saw his Huskies lose outright to Iowa State.

Kentucky’s John Calipari had won seven of eight trips to this round – at the helm of Memphis and Kentucky – but his teams had only cashed out three times. Another profitable investment, as the Wildcats won, but did not cover.

Gottfried had only covered the number once in six first-round games, but his Wolfpack got the money in routing San Diego State.

I did suggest a favorite to go against on the moneyline, because its coach couldn’t win. That play was on Temple, as its coach Fran Dunphy went into the game mired in a 1-9 SU and ATS slide in this round. Temple took on South Florida, and got beat down, 58-44.

Also, Wichita State’s Gregg Marshall was 1-6 SU in the round of 64, and ended up getting dismissed by VCU. I told you to look for the Rams at +250 on the moneyline.

QUOTE OF THE DAY¬†–¬†“We tried all week, our coaching staff, explaining to them (the Tigers) how good Norfolk is. Because you don’t see them on TV, the guys don’t know their players. You worry they don’t understand that, ‘hey, these guys are pretty darn good and, you get in a tournament on a neutral court, the fans cheer for the underdog, and that’s what happens.’ ” Missouri coach Frank Haith.

I wonder if the Tigers get the point now.

TODAY’S ACTION¬† – Wow!

Serves me right for going against my St. Louis Billikens I’ve backed all season. Rick Majerus has his team fine tuned, I’ll give it to him. Well, still up on my book, and today I go for my fourth winning day in five nights as I absolutely love what I see with my 600* Underdog Shocker at ChrisJordanSports.

! ! !  UPSET ALERT  ! ! !

On Monday, I scored with the Milwaukee Bucks as a 600* getting it done in New Jersey against the Nets.

On Tuesday, it was a 300* dog winner on Mississippi Valley State, in a game it should have won outright, but did in fact cover.

On Wednesday, it was my 300* dog winner was on Vermont, an outright pup that beat Lamar by 12 points.

$1 bettors are up $760

I put a majority of that bankroll into action tonight!!!

Yep, nothing more profitable than the madness in March, and I’m the best there is when it comes to making money this time of year. Let’s keep things going with this easy Saturday winner, the best underdog on the board.